Spivey: U.S. News Likely Will Change Methodology In Forthcoming Law School Rankings

Mike Spivey is "pretty sure" U.S. News will change the methodology of the forthcoming law school rankings because they are easy to predict due to the use of publicly available ABA data for 75% of the rankings and the very sticky peer and lawyer/judge reputation surveys for the remaining 25%. Indeed, the projections by Mike and Derek Muller (Notre Dame) are remarkably similar. Here the Top 100 law schools:

2023-24 Rank	School	Muller Projected 2024-25 Rank	Spivey Projected 2024-25 Rank	Average Projected 2024-25 Rank	Difference
1	Stanford	1	1	1	0
1	Yale	2	2	2	-1
3	Chicago	3	3	3	0
4	Penn	6	4	5	-1
5	Duke	6	7	6.5	-1.5
5	Harvard	4	4	4	1
5	NYU	11	10	10.5	-5.5
8	Columbia	9	8	8.5	-0.5
8	Virginia	4	4	4	4
10	Michigan	6	8	7	3
10	Northwestern	9	10	9.5	0.5
10	UC-Berkeley	11	10	10.5	-0.5
13	Cornell	18	16	17	-4
14	UCLA	13	13	13	1
15	Georgetown	14	14	14	1
16	Minnesota	19	18	18.5	-2.5
16	Texas	16	16	16	0
16	USC	22	22	22	-6
16	Vanderbilt	19	20	19.5	-3.5
20	Georgia	22	22	22	-2
20	Washington Univ.	14	14	14	6
22	BYU	39	38	38.5	-16.5
22	Florida	27	28	27.5	-5.5
22	North Carolina	16	18	17	5
22	Ohio State	32	34	33	-11
22	Wake Forest	24	25	24.5	-2.5
27	Boston University	24	22	23	4
27	Notre Dame	19	20	19.5	7.5
29	Boston College	28	28	28	1
29	Fordham	36	38	37	-8
29	Texas A&M	24	28	26	3
32	Arizona State	39	43	41	-9
32	George Mason	34	34	34	-2
32	Utah	28	25	26.5	5.5
35	Alabama	28	28	28	7
35	Emory	48	48	48	-13
35	George Washington	44	43	43.5	-8.5
35	Iowa	34	32	33	2
35	UC-Irvine	44	46	45	-10
40	Kansas	55	53	54	-14
40	Washington & Lee	32	34	33	7
40	Wisconsin	48	25	36.5	3.5
43	Illinois	46	34	40	3
43	Villanova	53	51	52	-9
45	Indiana-Maurer	36	38	37	8
45	Pepperdine	55	57	56	-11
45	SMU	39	41	40	5
45	William & Mary	28	32	30	15
49	Baylor	39	43	41	8
49	Univ. of Washington	48	48	48	1
51	Maryland	68	67	67.5	-16.5
51	Oklahoma	60	67	63.5	-12.5
51	Tennessee	48	53	50.5	0.5

2023-24 Rank	School	Muller Projected 2024-25 Rank	Spivey Projected 2024-25 Rank	Average Projected 2024-25 Rank	Difference
54	Temple	55	57	56	-2
54	University of Arizona	66	63	64.5	-10.5
56	Colorado	39	41	40	16
56	Florida State	36	46	41	15
56	Seton Hall	68	73	70.5	-14.5
56	Wayne State	60	63	61.5	-5.5
60	Florida Int'l	76	84	80	-20
60	Houston	76	80	78	-18
60	Kentucky	60	63	61.5	-1.5
60	Loyola-L.A.	66	67	66.5	-6.5
60	Richmond	68	67	67.5	-7.5
60	South Carolina	73	73	73	-13
60	St. John's	76	80	78	-18
60	UC-Davis	48	51	49.5	10.5
60	UC-San Francisco	82	84	83	-23
69	Cardozo	60	57	58.5	10.5
69	Georgia State	76	80	78	-9
71	Connecticut	46	48	47	24
71	Marquette	85	57	71	0
71	Miami	100	103	101.5	-30.5
71	Missouri-Columbia	55	53	54	17
71	Northeastern	68	63	65.5	5.5
71	Texas Tech	94	93	93.5	-22.5
71	Tulane	76	76	76	-5
78	Oregon	94	87	90.5	-12.5
78	San Diego	55	57	56	22
80	Case Western	96	93	94.5	-14.5
80	Denver	89	87	88	-8
80	Drexel	73	76	74.5	5.5
80	Penn State-Univ. Park	60	57	58.5	21.5
84	Cincinnati	68	67	67.5	16.5
84	Lewis & Clark	89	87	88	-4
84	Loyola-Chicago	76	76	76	8
84	Stetson	N/A	116	116	-32
88	Drake	82	80	81	7
89	American	N/A	106	106	-17
89	Duquesne	100	103	101.5	-12.5
89	Nebraska	73	73	73	16
89	Penn State-Dickinson	53	53	53	36
89	Pittsburgh	85	84	84.5	4.5
89	St. Louis	N/A	106	106	-17
89	UNLV	60	67	63.5	25.5
96	Montana	N/A	113	113	-17
96	New Mexico	89	87	88	8
96	St. Thomas-MN	N/A	123	123	-27
99	Chicago-Kent	N/A	113	113	-14
99	Gonzaga	N/A	139	139	-40
99	Indiana-McKinney	100	103	101.5	-2.5
99	Louisiana State	N/A	87	87	12
99	Louisville	N/A	157	157	-58
99	Mercer	N/A	106	106	-7
105	Albany	N/A	123	123	-18
105	Arkansas-Fayetteville	N/A	119	119	-14
105	Belmont	89	93	91	14
105	New Hampshire	89	93	91	14