Paul L. Caron

Monday, March 27, 2023

Projected 2024 U.S. News Rankings For All 191 Law Schools

US News (2023)UpdateThe Law Schools Most Impacted By The Methodology Changes In The Projected 2024 U.S. News Rankings

Following up on my previous posts:

Mike Spivey (Spivey Consulting), A Look At Possible U.S. News Rankings:

[W]e thought it might be interesting to explore what different results would look like from various methodologies in the upcoming edition, to be released in a few weeks. Because of the boycott U.S. News has announced that it plans to use publicly available data, e.g. information available through the American Bar Association. They will still use the assessment scores, though they have stated they plan to reduce the weight assigned to those metrics.

  • Peer Assessment (currently 25%): 12%-24%
  • Lawyer|Judge Assessment (currently 15%): 7%-12%
  • 10-Month Employment (currently 14%): 25%-40%
  • First-Time Bar Passage (currently 3%): 2%-10%
  • Ultimate 2-Year Bar Passage (currently 0%): 0%-10%
  • Student|Faculty Ratio (currently 2%): 2%-10%
  • Median LSAT|GRE (currently 11.25%): 8%-15%
  • Median UGPA (currently 8.75%): 5%-11%
  • Acceptance Rate (currently 1%): 1%-3%

Mike used this year's assessment scores in his 15 models. In contrast, Derek Muller (Iowa) reduced this year's peer assessment scores of the 42 law schools boycotting the rankings by 0.1 in his 5 models.

Mike listed the results for each law school within each of the fifteen scenarios. He then sorted all 191 law schools by their median rank. Here are the Top 50:

Spivey Projected Top 50 U.S. News Ranking

As you can see, the differences between different outcomes for different schools don't change too much from scenario to scenario. That isn't surprising. Schools tend to have a similar level of performance across metrics. And the results aren't that different from the rankings last year either.

We would like to reiterate: these are just possible outcomes. If any of our assumptions are wrong (and there are a number of them), the results will not be what U.S. News would create with the same weights. In fact, we are almost certainly wrong in some of those assumptions. ...

If you'd like to try for yourself, check here.

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