Paul L. Caron

Saturday, December 31, 2022

New U.S. Census Data: Major Migration From Blue States To Red States

Census Bureau, Growth in U.S. Population Shows Early Indication of Recovery Amid COVID-19 Pandemic:

After a historically low rate of change between 2020 and 2021, the U.S. resident population increased by 0.4%, or 1,256,003, to 333,287,557 in 2022, according to the U.S. Census Bureau’s Vintage 2022 national and state population estimates and components of change released today.

Percent Change in State Population: July 1, 2021 to July 1, 2022

Wall Street Journal Editorial, The Blue State Exodus Continues:

WSJTexas and Florida make up about 15% of the U.S. population but accounted for 70% of its population growth this past year. That’s one of the revealing facts in the Census Bureau’s annual assessment of U.S. migration released last week. The biggest news is that the exodus from progressive-led states hasn’t slowed even as Covid lockdowns eased. ...

California (343,230), New York (299,557) and Illinois (141,656) lost the most residents to other states, but New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Oregon, Massachusetts, Minnesota and Louisiana were also big losers. Where are all these folks moving?

Mostly to states with lower taxes, more affordable housing and a higher standard of living. Florida drew the most newcomers (318,855), followed by Texas (230,961), North Carolina (99,796), South Carolina (84,030), Tennessee (81,646), Georgia (81,406) and Arizona (70,984). More people moved to West Virginia than left for the first time in a decade. ...

It’s notable that the population outflow from progressive states didn’t slow after lockdowns eased and many employers called workers back to the office. Mortgage interest rates increased, making it more expensive to buy a home everywhere, not just in progressive cities.

9 of the 10 states with the least net domestic migration voted for Joe Biden in 2020, and 9 of the 10 states with the most net domestic migration voted for Donald Trump.

Similarly, in my November post on the Tax Foundation's 2023 State Business Tax Climate Index, I noted that 9 of the 10 states with the worst business tax climates voted for Joe Biden in 2020, and 8 of the 10 states with the best business tax climates voted for Donald Trump.

Tax Foundation 2

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