Paul L. Caron
Dean





Thursday, November 10, 2022

Law Schools Will Face An Enrollment Cliff In 2029

Law.com, The Enrollment Cliff of 2025—What Will It Do to Law Schools?:

The enrollment cliff or demographic cliff of 2025 will effect the entering freshman classes at undergraduate institutions nationwide. In 2007 we had an economic downturn that resulted in low birth rates. It is predicted that this low birth rate combined with a trend away from college over trade schools will lead to a 15-20% smaller incoming freshman class in 2025. ...

The enrollment cliff will hit law schools in 2028-9 and will hit smaller and lower ranked law schools, particularly hard. Less students applying to law schools will result in less competition to get into law schools and a shift of demographics getting into some more elite schools. Therefore, some law schools will admit classes too small to sustain the school. This is great news for students. ...

There are many ways to plan for this downturn and remain viable as an institution, but you need to be planning now. Don’t bulk up on faculty but do consider hiring those with the niche areas of expertise in subject matters that students want—and will lead to jobs. Create new business models by pulling the trigger on those non-J.D. programs everyone has been talking about. ...

The decline is expected to last for a decade and then some, until at least 2037 where high schools graduating classes are expected to be more robust. 

https://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2022/11/law-schools-will-face-an-enrollment-cliff-in-2029.html

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