Paul L. Caron
Dean



Friday, July 31, 2020

Phillips: Which Law Schools Will Thrive (46), Survive (65), Struggle (23), Or Perish (18) In The Age Of COVID-19?

Following up on my previous post, Which Of The 436 Universities Ranked BY U.S. News Will Thrive, Survive, Struggle, Or Perish In The Age Of COVID-19?:

James C. Phillips (Chapman), Will My Law School Perish?:

Based on Professor Galloway’s predictions, 18 law schools will perish in the near future (because their university will perish). That is 1 school in the top 50, 5 in the 51-100, 5 in the 101-147, and 7 in the unranked law schools. I have listed them below in order of ranking:

27

Fordham

53

Cardozo

62

Seton Hall

70

Loyola-Chicago

83

Chicago-Kent

93

Drexel

102

Hofstra

111

Chapman

118

DePaul

136

Pace

141

Willamette

148-194

Campbell

148-194

Elon

148-194

New England

148-194

Nova

148-194

Detroit Mercy

148-194

UMass-Dartmouth

148-194

McGeorge

Here are the projections for the U.S. News Top 50 

US News Ranking

Law School

Galloway Categorization

1

Yale

Thrive

2

Stanford

Thrive

3

Harvard

Thrive

4

Columbia

Survive

4

Chicago

Survive

6

NYU

Survive

7

Penn

Thrive

8

Virginia

Thrive

9

Northwestern

Thrive

9

UC-Berkeley

Survive

9

Michigan

Thrive

12

Duke

Thrive

13

Cornell

Thrive

14

Georgetown

Survive

15

UCLA

Survive

16

Texas

Thrive

17

Washington U.

Thrive

18

USC

Survive

18

Vanderbilt

Survive

20

Boston University

Survive

21

Minnesota

Survive

22

Notre Dame

Thrive

23

George Washington

Survive

24

Arizona State

Survive

24

Emory

Survive

24

Florida

Survive

27

Fordham

Perish

27

UC-Irvine

Survive

27

Iowa

Survive

27

North Carolina

Thrive

31

Boston College

Thrive

31

Alabama

Survive

31

Georgia

Thrive

31

Illinois

Survive

31

Washington & Lee

Thrive

31

William & Mary

Survive

37

BYU

Thrive

38

Indiana

Survive

38

Ohio State

Survive

38

UC-Davis

Survive

38

Wisconsin

Survive

42

George Mason

Survive

42

U. Washington

Survive

42

Wake Forest

Survive

45

Utah

Survive

46

Colorado

Survive

47

Pepperdine

Survive

47

Arizona 

Survive

47

Maryland

Survive

50

Baylor

Struggle

50

Florida State

Survive

50

Connecticut

Survive

Here are the totals:

Category

Number Of Law Schools

Thrive

46

Survive

65

Struggle

23

Perish

18

N/A

44

https://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2020/07/phillips-which-of-the-194-law-schools-ranked-by-us-news-will-thrive-survive-struggle-or-perish-in-th.html

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Comments

Apparently, this kind of idiotic and irresponsible punditry will never end.

Posted by: Rob T. | Jul 31, 2020 7:17:51 AM

Before this pandemic, Suffolk's bond debt was more than twice its endowment, rated just two or three notches above junk status, and MADS (Maximum Annual Debt Service) on it accounted for 1/8 of the university budget. Meanwhile the school relies on tuition for 95% of its revenue and the institution is on like their sixth or seventh president in the last ten years. Does not take a lot of imagination to see them in an existential crisis in the near future.

Posted by: Unemployed Northeastern | Jul 31, 2020 9:01:04 AM

I will note that in my post I took issue with Galloway's findings, observing that his characterization for my own school appeared quite wrong, and wondering whether he had used the proper weights for the variables he had included in his model and whether he had left out some other important variables.

Posted by: James Phillips | Jul 31, 2020 9:41:10 AM

Wouldn’t it be more constructive to do one’s own work than predict what is going to happen to someone else’s Law School? Who cares what this person thinks?

Posted by: Mike Livingston | Aug 1, 2020 3:46:01 AM

"Who cares what this person thinks?" For starters: prospective law students?

Posted by: tuphat | Aug 1, 2020 3:03:42 PM

Galloway may or may not have done it well, but I give him credit for asking an interesting question. Showing up is half the battle.

Posted by: Eric B Rasmusen | Aug 8, 2020 5:02:20 PM

Nothing like kicking a dog while it’s down.

Posted by: Edo | Aug 9, 2020 7:11:33 AM

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