Friday, July 31, 2020
Phillips: Which Law Schools Will Thrive (46), Survive (65), Struggle (23), Or Perish (18) In The Age Of COVID-19?
Following up on my previous post, Which Of The 436 Universities Ranked BY U.S. News Will Thrive, Survive, Struggle, Or Perish In The Age Of COVID-19?:
James C. Phillips (Chapman), Will My Law School Perish?:
Based on Professor Galloway’s predictions, 18 law schools will perish in the near future (because their university will perish). That is 1 school in the top 50, 5 in the 51-100, 5 in the 101-147, and 7 in the unranked law schools. I have listed them below in order of ranking:
27 |
Fordham |
53 |
Cardozo |
62 |
Seton Hall |
70 |
Loyola-Chicago |
83 |
Chicago-Kent |
93 |
Drexel |
102 |
Hofstra |
111 |
Chapman |
118 |
DePaul |
136 |
Pace |
141 |
Willamette |
148-194 |
Campbell |
148-194 |
Elon |
148-194 |
New England |
148-194 |
Nova |
148-194 |
Detroit Mercy |
148-194 |
UMass-Dartmouth |
148-194 |
McGeorge |
Here are the projections for the U.S. News Top 50
US News Ranking |
Law School |
Galloway Categorization |
1 |
Yale |
Thrive |
2 |
Stanford |
Thrive |
3 |
Harvard |
Thrive |
4 |
Columbia |
Survive |
4 |
Chicago |
Survive |
6 |
NYU |
Survive |
7 |
Penn |
Thrive |
8 |
Virginia |
Thrive |
9 |
Northwestern |
Thrive |
9 |
UC-Berkeley |
Survive |
9 |
Michigan |
Thrive |
12 |
Duke |
Thrive |
13 |
Cornell |
Thrive |
14 |
Georgetown |
Survive |
15 |
UCLA |
Survive |
16 |
Texas |
Thrive |
17 |
Washington U. |
Thrive |
18 |
USC |
Survive |
18 |
Vanderbilt |
Survive |
20 |
Boston University |
Survive |
21 |
Minnesota |
Survive |
22 |
Notre Dame |
Thrive |
23 |
George Washington |
Survive |
24 |
Arizona State |
Survive |
24 |
Emory |
Survive |
24 |
Florida |
Survive |
27 |
Fordham |
Perish |
27 |
UC-Irvine |
Survive |
27 |
Iowa |
Survive |
27 |
North Carolina |
Thrive |
31 |
Boston College |
Thrive |
31 |
Alabama |
Survive |
31 |
Georgia |
Thrive |
31 |
Illinois |
Survive |
31 |
Washington & Lee |
Thrive |
31 |
William & Mary |
Survive |
37 |
BYU |
Thrive |
38 |
Indiana |
Survive |
38 |
Ohio State |
Survive |
38 |
UC-Davis |
Survive |
38 |
Wisconsin |
Survive |
42 |
George Mason |
Survive |
42 |
U. Washington |
Survive |
42 |
Wake Forest |
Survive |
45 |
Utah |
Survive |
46 |
Colorado |
Survive |
47 |
Pepperdine |
Survive |
47 |
Arizona |
Survive |
47 |
Maryland |
Survive |
50 |
Baylor |
Struggle |
50 |
Florida State |
Survive |
50 |
Connecticut |
Survive |
Here are the totals:
Category |
Number Of Law Schools |
Thrive |
46 |
Survive |
65 |
Struggle |
23 |
Perish |
18 |
N/A |
44 |
https://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2020/07/phillips-which-of-the-194-law-schools-ranked-by-us-news-will-thrive-survive-struggle-or-perish-in-th.html
Comments
Galloway may or may not have done it well, but I give him credit for asking an interesting question. Showing up is half the battle.
Posted by: Eric B Rasmusen | Aug 8, 2020 5:02:20 PM
"Who cares what this person thinks?" For starters: prospective law students?
Posted by: tuphat | Aug 1, 2020 3:03:42 PM
Wouldn’t it be more constructive to do one’s own work than predict what is going to happen to someone else’s Law School? Who cares what this person thinks?
Posted by: Mike Livingston | Aug 1, 2020 3:46:01 AM
I will note that in my post I took issue with Galloway's findings, observing that his characterization for my own school appeared quite wrong, and wondering whether he had used the proper weights for the variables he had included in his model and whether he had left out some other important variables.
Posted by: James Phillips | Jul 31, 2020 9:41:10 AM
Before this pandemic, Suffolk's bond debt was more than twice its endowment, rated just two or three notches above junk status, and MADS (Maximum Annual Debt Service) on it accounted for 1/8 of the university budget. Meanwhile the school relies on tuition for 95% of its revenue and the institution is on like their sixth or seventh president in the last ten years. Does not take a lot of imagination to see them in an existential crisis in the near future.
Posted by: Unemployed Northeastern | Jul 31, 2020 9:01:04 AM
Nothing like kicking a dog while it’s down.
Posted by: Edo | Aug 9, 2020 7:11:33 AM