Thursday, January 21, 2016
Following up on my recent posts on the widespread declines in bar exam pass rates (links below): Jerry Organ (St. Thomas), Changes in Composition of the LSAT Profiles of Matriculants and Law Schools Between 2010 and 2015:
Given that the LSAT profiles of matriculants and of law schools for fall 2013, fall 2014 and fall 2015 are less robust than those for fall 2011 and fall 2012 (the classes that graduated in 2014 and 2015, respectively), one can anticipate that the declines in median MBE scaled scores and corresponding bar passage rates in 2014 and 2015 will continue in July 2016, 2017 and 2018 absent increases in attrition (I discussed attrition rates in a blog posting in October), significant improvement in academic support programs at law schools, or improved bar preparation efforts on the part of graduates.
If one focuses on the LSAT scores and UGPAs as measures of “quality” of the entering class of law students each year, then the period from 2010-2015 not only has seen a significant decline in enrollment, it also has seen a significant decline in “quality.”
Above the Law, The Great Law School Brain Drain Is The Reason Why More People Are Failing The Bar Exam Than Ever Before:
The worst is yet to come in terms of bar passage lows. Years from now, when society searches for the culprits behind the dumbing down of the legal profession, all fingers will point to the law school administrators who allowed this to happen on their watch.
Prior TaxProf Blog coverage: