Paul L. Caron
Dean


Sunday, November 23, 2014

Muller: The NCBE's Role in Declining MBE Scores and Bar Pass Rates

Following up on my previous posts (here, here, here, and here):  California released its July 2014 bar exam results on Friday:  a 48.6% overall pass rate (down 7.2 percentage points from 2013) and 61.0% first-time takers pass rate (down 6.7 percentage points from 2013).  (For more, see Vikram Amar (UC-Davis) and Dan Filler (Drexel)).  Derek Muller (Pepperdine) notes that California is the 20th state (out of 34 states that have released their results thus far) with at least a 5 percentage point bar passage rate decline:

Muller

Derek argues that neither the decline in student quality or the exam soft computer malfunction can explain these declining MBE scores and bar passage rates.

https://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2014/11/muller-the-ncbes-role-.html

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Comments

It's a great industry. Law students have it hard enough. The economy is terrible. So why not artificially make more people fail the bar to set them back thousands of dollars and destroy their careers when they have thousands of dollars in debt.

Posted by: j | Nov 23, 2014 9:22:50 AM

Here is an excellent analysis on why median LSAT scores can't predict bar passage rates. Short version: the LSAT is designed to produce the same average scores each year. If less (or more) intelligent people, on average, take the LSAT in a given year, LSAT scores should stay the same.

http://outsidethelawschoolscam.blogspot.com/2014/11/lsat-scores-do-not-and-cannot-predict.html

Posted by: ConcernTroll | Nov 23, 2014 10:18:32 AM