Projected 2021 Law School Tuition: $80,000

The Law School Tuition Bubble: Private Law School Tuition Projections for 2016, 2021, by Matt Leichter:

[H]ow does one project law school tuition? I just extended the linear regression of each law school’s tuition based on its Official Guide entries going back to 2004. The basis is that past tuition increases are a predictor of future ones. ... The only addition for this year is that I’m adding a column on the right side giving the “relative variance,” which is a measure of how (in)accurate the linear regression test was when comparing projected tuition to their 2011 outcomes. I think the lower the better, but anything below -3.0 percent or so is probably too low. The idea is to give readers a measure of how reliable the estimate is, given that some law school engaged in serious expansions in recent years that I hope they couldn’t get away with now, especially Faulkner University, which doubled its tuition in the span of a few years.

Here are the Top 35 (out of 120 law schools) ranked according to projected 2021-22 tuition:

#	SCHOOL	TUITION: 2011-2012	TUITION: 2016-2017	TUITION: 2021-2022	RELATIVE VARIANCE
1.	Cornell	53,226	66,800	79,800	1.7%
2.	Yale	52,525	64,600	76,300	1.1%
3.	Columbia	52,902	63,800	75,000	-0.9%
4.	Northwestern	51,920	63,400	74,800	0.4%
5.	Pennsylvania	50,718	62,200	73,500	0.4%
6.	New England	40,984	57,300	72,300	5.1%
7.	Seton Hall	46,840	59,900	72,200	2.8%
8.	Cardozo	48,370	60,600	72,200	2.3%
9.	Vermont	43,993	58,400	72,000	3.2%
10.	Duke	49,617	60,500	71,400	0.2%
11.	USC	50,591	61,000	71,300	0.0%
12.	Brooklyn	48,441	60,000	71,200	1.0%
13.	Fordham	47,986	59,600	70,700	2.1%
14.	St. John’s	46,450	58,700	70,700	1.3%
15.	Baylor	43,573	57,000	70,200	0.7%
16.	Stanford	49,179	59,400	70,100	-1.6%
17.	Syracuse	45,647	59,000	70,100	8.8%
18.	NYU	50,336	59,900	69,700	-0.6%
19.	Harvard	48,786	59,100	69,400	0.2%
20.	Vanderbilt	46,148	58,200	68,900	5.2%
21.	Touro	41,890	55,600	67,900	5.7%
22.	Faulkner	32,187	51,300	67,800	17.1%
23.	Chicago	47,786	58,000	67,800	1.5%
24.	Georgetown	46,865	57,400	67,500	1.7%
25.	Quinnipiac	45,050	55,700	66,500	-0.4%
26.	Hofstra	45,600	56,000	66,400	0.4%
27.	Wash. & Lee	41,947	54,200	65,900	2.6%
28.	American	45,096	55,500	65,700	0.9%
29.	G. Washington	45,750	55,300	64,800	0.2%
30.	Washington U.	46,042	55,200	64,500	-0.2%
31.	New York L.S.	47,800	56,000	63,900	1.0%
32.	Loyola-L.A.	43,060	53,800	63,700	3.0%
33.	Tulane	43,684	53,800	63,400	1.6%
34.	Cal-Western	42,700	52,500	62,500	-0.5%
35.	DePaul	41,690	52,100	62,500	-0.2%